Vig Calculator

Enter both sides of a two-way betting market. Anything above 100% combined implied probability is the estimated sportsbook margin — also called vig or hold.

Side A implied probability52.38%
Side B implied probability52.38%
Combined implied probability104.76%
Estimated sportsbook hold4.76%
Side A fair probability after de-vigging50.00%
Side B fair probability after de-vigging50.00%

A perfectly fair two-way market would total 100% implied probability. Anything above 100% represents estimated sportsbook margin. The hold is an estimate of how far the market is priced above fair — it is not the exact profit the sportsbook will realize on any single outcome.

Example

A standard point spread at -110 / -110 implies 52.38% on each side. The combined implied probability is 104.76%, so the estimated hold is 4.76%.

After removing that margin proportionally, each side has an estimated fair probability of 50%. A market priced at -105 / -105 would combine to 103.49%, giving a smaller estimated hold of about 3.49%.

What the results mean

Implied probability
The break-even win rate each posted price demands. Both sides include the sportsbook's built-in margin.
Combined implied probability
The two implied probabilities added together. In a fair market this would equal 100%.
Estimated sportsbook hold
How far past 100% the market is priced. This is the estimated margin, not a guaranteed profit figure.
Fair probability after de-vigging
Each side's estimated chance after the margin is removed proportionally. The two fair probabilities sum to 100%.

Frequently asked questions

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